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Climate Change and Lake-Effect Snowfallin the Great Lakes BasinCollaborators: Steve Vavrus, Azar Zarrin Funding: NOAA CCDD Publications: None at this time Methods: The ICTP RegCM3 regional climate model is being run during the recent historical period forced by NCEP Reanalysis and also for the mid- and late-21st century forced by IPCC AR4 global climate model output. The impact of climate change on the frequency of heavy lake effect snowstorms is being studied. Key finding: RegCM3 is capable of simulating reasonable lake-effect snowfall. |
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Midwest snowstorm during January 1996 as simulated by ICTP RegCM3 regional climate model. Plot includes precipitation (shading), sea-level pressure (contours), and surface winds (vectors). | |
